Consumer Cyclical Sector: Value Investing Analysis
About the Consumer Cyclical Sector
This sector includes retail stores, auto and auto-parts manufacturers, restaurants, lodging facilities, restaurants, and entertainment companies. Companies in this sector include Ford Motor Co., McDonald’s, and News Corp.
The Consumer Cyclical sector groups related businesses that share similar economic characteristics, market dynamics, and competitive forces. By analyzing stocks within this sector, you can compare companies on a more level playing field—making it easier to identify which businesses offer the best value for your investment dollars.
Understanding sector performance helps you evaluate whether individual stocks are cheap or expensive relative to their peers. A P/E ratio that looks high in one sector might be a bargain in another. This context is essential for value investors seeking to calculate realistic expected returns.
Consumer Cyclical Stocks: Value Analysis
Below are the stocks we track in the Consumer Cyclical sector, with key value investing metrics. If you have special knowledge about this sector, you have an advantage—use these metrics to find stocks that may be trading below their intrinsic value.
| Company | Current Price | Current Price Discount 10 years |
|---|---|---|
| P.F. Chang's China Bistro (PFCB) |
$0.00 | none |
| Apex Global Brands (CHKE) |
$0.00 | none |
| AutoZone (AZO) |
$2872.16 | none |
| O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) |
$86.11 | none |
| Rush Enterprises (RUSHA) |
$47.97 | none |
| Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD) |
$198.07 | none |
(CBOU) |
$0.00 | none |
| JAKKS Pacific (JAKK) |
$25.26 | none |
| LCI Industries (LCII) |
$84.51 | none |
| Funko (FNKO) |
$5.36 | none |
| Yum China Holdings (YUMC) |
$41.12 | none |
| Kandi Technologies Group (KNDI) |
$0.52 | none |
| Carvana Co. (CVNA) |
$65.84 | none |
| Winnebago Industries (WGO) |
$26.96 | none |
| Flexsteel Industries (FLXS) |
$79.46 | none |
(PSS) |
$0.00 | none |
| The Bon-Ton Stores (BONT) |
$0.00 | none |
| Rush Enterprises (RUSHB) |
$55.42 | none |
| Columbia Sportswear Company (COLM) |
$57.05 | none |
| Gentex Corporation (GNTX) |
$22.46 | none |
| BorgWarner (BWA) |
$63.76 | none |
| Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) |
$35.59 | none |
| DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) |
$121.15 | none |
| Barnes & Noble Education (BNED) |
$10.64 | none |
| The Walt Disney Company (DIS) |
$102.67 | none |
| Weyco Group (WEYS) |
$44.70 | none |
| Hasbro (HAS) |
$87.57 | none |
| Patrick Industries (PATK) |
$68.71 | none |
| MGM Resorts International (MGM) |
$37.81 | none |
| Canterbury Park Holding Corporation (CPHC) |
$15.60 | none |
| Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF) |
$136.76 | none |
| Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) |
$60.43 | none |
| Sunstone Hotel Investors (SHO) |
$11.09 | 43.3% |
| Williams-Sonoma (WSM) |
$224.20 | none |
| Gildan Activewear (GIL) |
$46.87 | none |
| McDonald's Corporation (MCD) |
$247.88 | none |
| Amazon.com (AMZN) |
$253.71 | 36.8% |
| Cedar Fair, L.P. (FUN) |
$12.37 | 35.6% |
| El Pollo Loco Holdings (LOCO) |
$14.25 | none |
| Arcos Dorados Holdings (ARCO) |
$7.53 | none |
| AutoNation (AN) |
$168.76 | none |
| Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) |
$94.90 | none |
(CRDN) |
$0.00 | none |
| Penn National Gaming (PENN) |
$16.13 | none |
| Whirlpool Corporation (WHR) |
$32.64 | 76.8% |
| The Wendy's Company (WEN) |
$6.74 | none |
| Lumber Liquidators Holdings (LL) |
$0.00 | none |
| American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) |
$15.46 | none |
| Bloomin' Brands (BLMN) |
$8.43 | none |
(LB ) |
$85.96 | none |
| Zipcar (ZIP) |
$3.70 | none |
| Steven Madden, Ltd. (SHOO) |
$42.83 | none |
| Escalade, Incorporated (ESCA) |
$19.43 | none |
| Lithia Motors (LAD) |
$316.27 | none |
| Camping World Holdings (CWH) |
$5.60 | none |
| U.S. Auto Parts Network (PRTS) |
$8.52 | none |
| Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) |
$4.35 | 93.4% |
| Jack in the Box (JACK) |
$13.06 | none |
| Hooker Furniture Corporation (HOFT) |
$13.26 | 34.7% |
(IFSIA) |
$0.00 | none |
| Under Armour (UA) |
$4.80 | 36.6% |
| Red Rock Resorts (RRR) |
$50.91 | none |
| Del Taco Restaurants (TACO) |
$10.45 | none |
| Build-A-Bear Workshop (BBW) |
$24.44 | none |
| Hilton Worldwide Holdings (HLT) |
$305.73 | none |
| Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN) |
$81.68 | none |
| Dorman Products (DORM) |
$122.44 | none |
(TRLG) |
$0.00 | none |
| Purple Innovation (PRPL) |
$3.19 | none |
| Fiat Chrysler Automobiles N.V. (FCAU) |
$0.00 | none |
| Burlington Stores (BURL) |
$237.12 | none |
| Under Armour (UAA) |
$4.77 | 25.9% |
| Kandi Technologies Group (KNDI ) |
$0.53 | none |
| Boot Barn Holdings (BOOT) |
$122.92 | none |
| Best Buy Co. (BBY) |
$94.82 | none |
| Sonoco Products Company (SON) |
$48.84 | none |
(ZZ) |
$0.00 | none |
| Vera Bradley (VRA) |
$4.25 | 45.3% |
| Darden Restaurants (DRI) |
$209.28 | none |
| EZCORP (EZPW) |
$30.65 | none |
| Century Casinos (CNTY) |
$1.14 | 74.0% |
| Polaris (PII) |
$54.07 | none |
| Thor Industries (THO) |
$67.77 | none |
| Revolve Group (RVLV) |
$20.66 | none |
| Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) |
$167.56 | none |
| Full House Resorts (FLL) |
$1.90 | none |
| ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF (NOBL) |
$55.66 | none |
| Shake Shack (SHAK) |
$54.88 | none |
| Lear Corporation (LEA) |
$120.64 | none |
| Williams Controls (WMCO) |
$0.00 | none |
| Signet Jewelers Limited (SIG) |
$100.38 | none |
| Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) |
$113.83 | none |
| Weight Watchers International (WW) |
$16.10 | none |
| Aramark (ARMK) |
$56.45 | none |
| The Dixie Group (DXYN) |
$0.47 | none |
| Baozun (BZUN) |
$2.85 | none |
| Advance Auto Parts (AAP) |
$42.55 | 38.0% |
| Chico's FAS (CHS) |
$0.00 | 59.7% |
| Chuy's Holdings (CHUY) |
$0.00 | none |
| Huazhu Group Limited (HTHT) |
$42.69 | none |
| Dillard's (DDS) |
$588.34 | none |
| Kontoor Brands (KTB) |
$83.74 | none |
| Planet Fitness (PLNT) |
$55.91 | none |
| Coupang (CPNG) |
$16.35 | none |
| Stein Mart (SMRT) |
$1.01 | 85.8% |
| Cooper-Standard Holdings (CPS) |
$29.47 | 8.3% |
| V.F. Corporation (VFC) |
$15.08 | 31.5% |
| BJ's Restaurants (BJRI) |
$68.29 | none |
| Brady Corporation (BRC) |
$98.11 | none |
| Ryder System (R) |
$258.24 | none |
| Biglari Holdings (BH) |
$391.75 | none |
| The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) |
$343.88 | none |
| Kohl's Corporation (KSS) |
$19.06 | 77.5% |
| Macy's (M) |
$24.76 | 59.6% |
| Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (CBRL) |
$58.75 | 5.2% |
| Asbury Automotive Group (ABG) |
$248.26 | none |
| Avery Dennison Corporation (AVY) |
$167.14 | none |
| Ross Stores (ROST) |
$251.96 | none |
| The Cato Corporation (CATO) |
$3.43 | 85.7% |
| Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD) |
$84.32 | none |
| The Home Depot (HD) |
$338.27 | none |
| Builders FirstSource (BLDR) |
$75.37 | none |
| Ralph Lauren Corporation (RL) |
$375.68 | none |
| Urban Outfitters (URBN) |
$75.40 | none |
| Cintas Corporation (CTAS) |
$216.53 | none |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) |
$34.24 | 75.9% |
| Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) |
$113.21 | none |
| Nordstrom (JWN) |
$0.00 | 73.2% |
| GameStop Corp. (GME) |
$21.84 | 65.5% |
| International Game Technology PLC (IGT) |
$0.00 | none |
| The Gap (GPS) |
$0.00 | 61.4% |
| bebe stores, inc. (BEBE) |
$9.98 | none |
| Compass Diversified Holdings LLC (CODI) |
$11.08 | 18.0% |
| Casey's General Stores (CASY) |
$852.86 | none |
| CarMax (KMX) |
$59.11 | none |
| Marriott International (MAR) |
$381.12 | none |
| Fastenal Company (FAST) |
$47.78 | none |
| General Motors Company (GM) |
$89.40 | none |
| Tempur Sealy International (TPX) |
$0.00 | none |
| The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) |
$105.83 | none |
| Nautilus (NLS) |
$0.00 | 83.2% |
| Christopher & Banks Corporation (CBK) |
$35.44 | none |
| PACCAR Inc (PCAR) |
$133.87 | none |
How to Invest in Consumer Cyclical Stocks
Sector-Specific Considerations
When evaluating Consumer Cyclical companies, consider these key factors:
- Sector fundamentals: Is this sector growing, mature, or declining? Growth prospects affect reasonable earnings forecasts.
- Economic sensitivity: How does this sector perform in different economic conditions? Understanding cyclicality helps you time purchases.
- Competitive dynamics: Are barriers to entry high or low? Strong moats protect profits and justify premium valuations.
- Regulatory environment: Does government policy significantly impact this sector? Regulatory changes can create risks or opportunities.
- Capital intensity: Does the business require heavy capital investment? Capital-light businesses often generate better returns.
✓ Sector Analysis Checklist
- Compare P/E ratios within the sector
- Look for strong free cash flow generation
- Assess debt levels relative to peers
- Evaluate dividend sustainability
- Check management track record
- Calculate margin of safety
Common Sector Pitfalls
- Chasing last year's hot sector
- Ignoring sector-wide headwinds
- Overpaying for market leaders
- Neglecting competitive threats
- Failing to diversify across sectors
- Not understanding the business model