Consumer Cyclical Sector: Value Investing Analysis
About the Consumer Cyclical Sector
This sector includes retail stores, auto and auto-parts manufacturers, restaurants, lodging facilities, restaurants, and entertainment companies. Companies in this sector include Ford Motor Co., McDonald’s, and News Corp.
The Consumer Cyclical sector groups related businesses that share similar economic characteristics, market dynamics, and competitive forces. By analyzing stocks within this sector, you can compare companies on a more level playing field—making it easier to identify which businesses offer the best value for your investment dollars.
Understanding sector performance helps you evaluate whether individual stocks are cheap or expensive relative to their peers. A P/E ratio that looks high in one sector might be a bargain in another. This context is essential for value investors seeking to calculate realistic expected returns.
Consumer Cyclical Stocks: Value Analysis
Below are the stocks we track in the Consumer Cyclical sector, with key value investing metrics. If you have special knowledge about this sector, you have an advantage—use these metrics to find stocks that may be trading below their intrinsic value.
| Company | Current Price | Current Price Discount 10 years |
|---|---|---|
| Escalade, Incorporated (ESCA) |
$20.33 | none |
| Purple Innovation (PRPL) |
$5.79 | none |
| Winnebago Industries (WGO) |
$31.32 | none |
| Camping World Holdings (CWH) |
$6.30 | none |
(ZZ) |
$0.00 | none |
(TRLG) |
$0.00 | none |
| Signet Jewelers Limited (SIG) |
$84.76 | none |
| Cedar Fair, L.P. (FUN) |
$15.75 | 18.0% |
| Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) |
$43.49 | none |
| Sunstone Hotel Investors (SHO) |
$11.06 | 43.5% |
| ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF (NOBL) |
$58.14 | none |
| Steven Madden, Ltd. (SHOO) |
$46.75 | none |
| Flexsteel Industries (FLXS) |
$77.16 | none |
| Del Taco Restaurants (TACO) |
$10.46 | none |
| Shake Shack (SHAK) |
$70.99 | none |
| Fiat Chrysler Automobiles N.V. (FCAU) |
$0.00 | none |
| Whirlpool Corporation (WHR) |
$39.27 | 72.1% |
| AutoNation (AN) |
$196.90 | none |
| Full House Resorts (FLL) |
$2.09 | none |
| Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) |
$203.39 | none |
| Columbia Sportswear Company (COLM) |
$57.89 | none |
| Williams-Sonoma (WSM) |
$241.39 | none |
(CBOU) |
$0.00 | none |
| Dorman Products (DORM) |
$132.82 | none |
| Lithia Motors (LAD) |
$356.55 | none |
| American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) |
$16.35 | none |
| Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) |
$107.92 | none |
| Weyco Group (WEYS) |
$45.79 | none |
| Penn National Gaming (PENN) |
$18.65 | none |
| Red Rock Resorts (RRR) |
$63.21 | none |
| MGM Resorts International (MGM) |
$43.32 | none |
| The Dixie Group (DXYN) |
$0.44 | none |
| Funko (FNKO) |
$6.19 | none |
| Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) |
$4.35 | 93.4% |
| Revolve Group (RVLV) |
$22.86 | none |
| Lumber Liquidators Holdings (LL) |
$0.00 | none |
| Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) |
$61.46 | none |
| Century Casinos (CNTY) |
$1.28 | 70.8% |
| Rush Enterprises (RUSHA) |
$79.39 | none |
| Patrick Industries (PATK) |
$83.73 | none |
| Gildan Activewear (GIL) |
$55.76 | none |
| Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD) |
$200.66 | none |
| Polaris (PII) |
$67.61 | none |
| Yum China Holdings (YUMC) |
$46.86 | none |
| JAKKS Pacific (JAKK) |
$25.29 | none |
| Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) |
$121.98 | none |
(PSS) |
$0.00 | none |
| The Wendy's Company (WEN) |
$8.44 | none |
| BorgWarner (BWA) |
$67.95 | none |
| Under Armour (UA) |
$4.94 | 34.7% |
| Hooker Furniture Corporation (HOFT) |
$14.69 | 27.6% |
(IFSIA) |
$0.00 | none |
| Hasbro (HAS) |
$93.99 | none |
| Build-A-Bear Workshop (BBW) |
$37.44 | none |
| Williams Controls (WMCO) |
$0.00 | none |
| Under Armour (UAA) |
$5.07 | 21.3% |
| Gentex Corporation (GNTX) |
$23.68 | none |
| Aramark (ARMK) |
$60.50 | none |
| Canterbury Park Holding Corporation (CPHC) |
$15.60 | none |
| The Walt Disney Company (DIS) |
$103.95 | none |
| U.S. Auto Parts Network (PRTS) |
$5.96 | none |
| Darden Restaurants (DRI) |
$218.86 | none |
| P.F. Chang's China Bistro (PFCB) |
$0.00 | none |
| Rush Enterprises (RUSHB) |
$78.99 | none |
| Vera Bradley (VRA) |
$3.12 | 59.8% |
| Thor Industries (THO) |
$77.78 | none |
(LB ) |
$80.82 | none |
| LCI Industries (LCII) |
$103.27 | none |
| DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) |
$191.52 | none |
| Boot Barn Holdings (BOOT) |
$158.09 | none |
| Advance Auto Parts (AAP) |
$56.96 | 17.1% |
| Amazon.com (AMZN) |
$259.45 | 35.4% |
| Apex Global Brands (CHKE) |
$0.00 | none |
| Kandi Technologies Group (KNDI ) |
$0.63 | none |
| Barnes & Noble Education (BNED) |
$11.95 | none |
| AutoZone (AZO) |
$3073.20 | none |
| Arcos Dorados Holdings (ARCO) |
$7.70 | none |
| Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF) |
$103.38 | none |
| Sonoco Products Company (SON) |
$57.20 | none |
| Burlington Stores (BURL) |
$336.95 | none |
| Hilton Worldwide Holdings (HLT) |
$327.74 | none |
| Jack in the Box (JACK) |
$16.73 | none |
| Kandi Technologies Group (KNDI) |
$0.63 | none |
| Weight Watchers International (WW) |
$13.89 | none |
| Zipcar (ZIP) |
$4.97 | none |
| Best Buy Co. (BBY) |
$87.27 | none |
(CRDN) |
$0.00 | none |
| Lear Corporation (LEA) |
$123.90 | none |
| El Pollo Loco Holdings (LOCO) |
$15.28 | none |
| Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN) |
$101.29 | none |
| Bloomin' Brands (BLMN) |
$10.66 | none |
| The Bon-Ton Stores (BONT) |
$0.00 | none |
| McDonald's Corporation (MCD) |
$266.99 | none |
| O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) |
$90.76 | none |
| EZCORP (EZPW) |
$29.17 | none |
| Carvana Co. (CVNA) |
$65.00 | none |
| Baozun (BZUN) |
$2.73 | none |
| Chico's FAS (CHS) |
$0.00 | 59.7% |
| Chuy's Holdings (CHUY) |
$0.00 | none |
| Huazhu Group Limited (HTHT) |
$42.69 | none |
| Dillard's (DDS) |
$588.34 | none |
| Kontoor Brands (KTB) |
$83.74 | none |
| Planet Fitness (PLNT) |
$55.91 | none |
| Coupang (CPNG) |
$16.35 | none |
| Stein Mart (SMRT) |
$1.01 | 85.8% |
| Cooper-Standard Holdings (CPS) |
$29.47 | 8.3% |
| V.F. Corporation (VFC) |
$15.08 | 31.5% |
| BJ's Restaurants (BJRI) |
$68.29 | none |
| Brady Corporation (BRC) |
$98.11 | none |
| Ryder System (R) |
$258.24 | none |
| Biglari Holdings (BH) |
$391.75 | none |
| The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) |
$343.88 | none |
| Kohl's Corporation (KSS) |
$19.06 | 77.5% |
| Macy's (M) |
$24.76 | 59.6% |
| Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (CBRL) |
$58.75 | 5.2% |
| Asbury Automotive Group (ABG) |
$248.26 | none |
| Avery Dennison Corporation (AVY) |
$167.14 | none |
| Ross Stores (ROST) |
$251.96 | none |
| The Cato Corporation (CATO) |
$3.43 | 85.7% |
| Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD) |
$84.32 | none |
| The Home Depot (HD) |
$338.27 | none |
| Builders FirstSource (BLDR) |
$75.37 | none |
| Ralph Lauren Corporation (RL) |
$375.68 | none |
| Urban Outfitters (URBN) |
$75.40 | none |
| Cintas Corporation (CTAS) |
$216.53 | none |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) |
$34.24 | 75.9% |
| Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) |
$113.21 | none |
| Nordstrom (JWN) |
$0.00 | 73.2% |
| GameStop Corp. (GME) |
$21.84 | 65.5% |
| International Game Technology PLC (IGT) |
$0.00 | none |
| The Gap (GPS) |
$0.00 | 61.4% |
| bebe stores, inc. (BEBE) |
$9.98 | none |
| Casey's General Stores (CASY) |
$852.86 | none |
| CarMax (KMX) |
$59.11 | none |
| Marriott International (MAR) |
$381.12 | none |
| Fastenal Company (FAST) |
$47.78 | none |
| General Motors Company (GM) |
$89.40 | none |
| Tempur Sealy International (TPX) |
$0.00 | none |
| The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) |
$105.83 | none |
| Nautilus (NLS) |
$0.00 | 83.2% |
| Christopher & Banks Corporation (CBK) |
$35.44 | none |
| PACCAR Inc (PCAR) |
$133.87 | none |
How to Invest in Consumer Cyclical Stocks
Sector-Specific Considerations
When evaluating Consumer Cyclical companies, consider these key factors:
- Sector fundamentals: Is this sector growing, mature, or declining? Growth prospects affect reasonable earnings forecasts.
- Economic sensitivity: How does this sector perform in different economic conditions? Understanding cyclicality helps you time purchases.
- Competitive dynamics: Are barriers to entry high or low? Strong moats protect profits and justify premium valuations.
- Regulatory environment: Does government policy significantly impact this sector? Regulatory changes can create risks or opportunities.
- Capital intensity: Does the business require heavy capital investment? Capital-light businesses often generate better returns.
✓ Sector Analysis Checklist
- Compare P/E ratios within the sector
- Look for strong free cash flow generation
- Assess debt levels relative to peers
- Evaluate dividend sustainability
- Check management track record
- Calculate margin of safety
Common Sector Pitfalls
- Chasing last year's hot sector
- Ignoring sector-wide headwinds
- Overpaying for market leaders
- Neglecting competitive threats
- Failing to diversify across sectors
- Not understanding the business model