Penske Automotive Group Stock Price and Value Analysis

Penske Automotive Group (NYSE:PAG) in our automated value investing analysis, with the cash flow history and price comparison below.

Key Facts

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PAG Free Cash Flow Trend

Free Cash Flow trendline for PAG
Free Cash Flow trendline for Penske Automotive Group
CSV

Based on historical returns, we believe that Penske Automotive Group can grow its free cash at a rate of about 4%. That's positive!

AdvantagesDisadvantages
  • This company has a high dividend yield.
  • This company is solid.
  • This stock looks overpriced.
  • This company has wild ups and downs.
  • This company is making money at a modest rate.

Inside the PAG Numbers

PAG Price
(Penske Automotive Group stock price per share)
$213.12
[?] PE Ratio versus Sector 4% higher than other Consumer Cyclical stocks
[?] PE Ratio versus Industry 65% lower than other Auto & Truck Dealerships stocks
[?] Cash Yield 2.19%
[?] Free Cash Flow Jitter 46%
[?] Dividend Yield 3% (tax impact)
Shares Shorted 2,159,407

Insider Activity Summary

No open-market insider buys or sells are recorded for the last 12 months.

This stock has short interest! This means that people have shorted it.

Why does that matter? They've made a bet that price will decrease from where they bought it. Maybe there are financial problems, or maybe there's a value play.

As of the latest analysis, there are 2,159,407 shares shorted. With 17,510,013 shares available for purchase and an average trading volume over the past 10 trading days of 368,630, it would take at least 5.9 days for all of the short holders to cover their shorts.

Related guides: good annual rate of return · high-yield stocks · forecasting earnings growth

Free Cash Flow by Fiscal Year

Each year names the SEC filer that reported it, so a change of filer shows up here.

Fiscal yearSEC filer (CIK)Free cash flow (USD millions)
2008 1019849 192.8
2009 1019849 151.8
2010 1019849 82.1
2011 1019849 9.9
2012 1019849 194.0
2013 1019849 174.6
2014 1019849 217.6
2015 1019849 231.2
2016 1019849 190.4
2017 1019849 422.9
2018 1019849 387.9
2019 1019849 278.2
2020 1019849 964.1
2021 1019849 1045.5
2022 1019849 1205.4
2023 1019849 875.5
2024 1019849 934.4
2025 1019849 651.1

Download the yearly data as CSV.

Price Versus Our Estimated Value

Every one of the 18 fiscal years we have for Penske Automotive Group under its current filer shows positive free cash flow.

Penske Automotive Group's average free cash flow rose sharply, from $142.2 million in its earliest three years to $820.3 million in its latest three.

Free cash flow is volatile from year to year, with a variability measure of 46%.

At $213.12, the price is above our fair value estimate of $157.22 for Penske Automotive Group.

Penske Automotive Group yields 2.67% in dividends.

These numbers change when new filings or prices arrive, so treat this page as a snapshot and check the company's own filings.

Compared With Its Sector and Industry

Its trailing P/E ratio is 4% above the average for stocks in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Its trailing P/E ratio is 65% below the average for stocks in the Auto & Truck Dealerships industry.

A P/E ratio depends on trailing earnings, which one-time items can distort, so a lower P/E is not by itself evidence of value.

SEC Filer History

Every fiscal year on this page is reported by one SEC filer, CIK 1019849.

Each figure on this page comes from that filer.

Risks to This Analysis

  • Free cash flow is volatile from year to year, so the estimates depend heavily on which years are included.
  • These figures are automated calculations from SEC filings and the recent price. They may contain errors, and they do not reflect lawsuits, management changes, or other events the filings do not show.

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Questions to Answer Before You Invest in PAG

Does Penske Automotive Group have a coherent story? Does it have a plan to continue to make money? Is it worth your time? Only you can decide where to go from here. Our investment guide helps you ask the right questions, including how to buy stocks. Use these research links for more information.

Worked example: PAG

This example shows how we apply the Trendshare checklist to PAG: earnings power, cash generation, valuation, and margin of safety.

We check: business quality, free cash flow, P/E, and margin of safety.

  1. Step 1 — Snapshot

    • Price: 213.12
    • Market cap: $14B
    • EPS: 14.35
  2. Step 2 — Valuation checks

    • P/E: 14.851
    • FCF yield: 2.2%
    • Date checked: Nov 12, 2026
  3. Step 3 — Margin of safety

    • Compare price to fair value and safety price.
    • Look for durable cash generation and reasonable leverage.
    • Decide if it passes your personal checklist.