McDonald's Corporation Stock Price and Value Analysis

McDonald's Corporation (NYSE:MCD) in our automated value investing analysis, with the cash flow history and price comparison below.

Key Facts

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MCD Free Cash Flow Trend

Free Cash Flow trendline for MCD
Free Cash Flow trendline for McDonald's Corporation
CSV

Based on historical returns, we believe that McDonald's Corporation can grow its free cash at a rate of about 13%. That's positive!

AdvantagesDisadvantages
  • This company has a high dividend yield.
  • This company has amazingly consistent growth!
  • This company is making money at a great rate!
  • This company is a well-established bedrock.
  • This stock looks overpriced.

Inside the MCD Numbers

MCD Price
(McDonald's Corporation stock price per share)
$282.17
[?] PE Ratio versus Sector 183% higher than other Consumer Cyclical stocks
[?] PE Ratio versus Industry 4% higher than other Restaurants stocks
[?] Cash Yield 3.16%
[?] Free Cash Flow Jitter 11%
[?] Dividend Yield 3% (tax impact)
Shares Shorted 13,473,812

Insider Activity Summary

No open-market insider buys or sells are recorded for the last 12 months.

This stock has short interest! This means that people have shorted it.

Why does that matter? They've made a bet that price will decrease from where they bought it. Maybe there are financial problems, or maybe there's a value play.

As of the latest analysis, there are 13,473,812 shares shorted. With 704,719,009 shares available for purchase and an average trading volume over the past 10 trading days of 6,114,930, it would take at least 2.2 days for all of the short holders to cover their shorts.

Related guides: good annual rate of return · high-yield stocks · forecasting earnings growth

Free Cash Flow by Fiscal Year

Each year names the SEC filer that reported it, so a change of filer shows up here.

Fiscal yearSEC filer (CIK)Free cash flow (USD millions)
2007 63908 4647.5
2008 63908 5729.3
2009 63908 5577.2
2010 63908 6165.4
2011 63908 6971.8
2012 63908 6801.9
2013 63908 6949.7
2014 63908 6554.3
2015 63908 6371.7
2016 63908 5907.6
2017 63908 5415.5
2018 63908 6846.8
2019 63908 7928.2
2020 63908 5771.2
2021 63908 8261.4
2022 63908 6142.5
2023 63908 7916.5
2024 63908 7304.6
2025 63908 8063.8

Download the yearly data as CSV.

Price Versus Our Estimated Value

At $282.17, McDonald's Corporation trades above our fair value estimate of $255.04.

Free cash flow was positive in all 19 fiscal years we have for McDonald's Corporation under its current SEC filer.

McDonald's Corporation's average free cash flow rose sharply, from $5318.0 million in its earliest three years to $7761.6 million in its latest three.

Year-to-year variability in free cash flow is unusually steady, measured at 11%.

These numbers change when new filings or prices arrive, so treat this page as a snapshot and check the company's own filings.

McDonald's Corporation pays a dividend yield of 2.64%.

Compared With Its Sector and Industry

Its trailing P/E ratio is 183% above the average for stocks in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Its trailing P/E ratio is 4% above the average for stocks in the Restaurants industry.

A P/E ratio depends on trailing earnings, which one-time items can distort, so a lower P/E is not by itself evidence of value.

SEC Filer History

Every fiscal year on this page is reported by one SEC filer, CIK 63908.

Each figure on this page comes from that filer.

Risks to This Analysis

  • These figures are automated calculations from SEC filings and the recent price. They may contain errors, and they do not reflect lawsuits, management changes, or other events the filings do not show.

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Questions to Answer Before You Invest in MCD

Does McDonald's Corporation have a coherent story? Does it have a plan to continue to make money? Is it worth your time? Only you can decide where to go from here. Our investment guide helps you ask the right questions, including how to buy stocks. Use these research links for more information.

Worked example: MCD

This example shows how we apply the Trendshare checklist to MCD: earnings power, cash generation, valuation, and margin of safety.

We check: business quality, free cash flow, P/E, and margin of safety.

  1. Step 1 — Snapshot

    • Price: 282.17
    • Market cap: $199B
    • EPS: 12.64
  2. Step 2 — Valuation checks

    • P/E: 22.324
    • FCF yield: 3.2%
    • Date checked: Nov 10, 2026
  3. Step 3 — Margin of safety

    • Compare price to fair value and safety price.
    • Look for durable cash generation and reasonable leverage.
    • Decide if it passes your personal checklist.