TFS Financial Corporation Stock Price and Value Analysis

TFS Financial Corporation (NasdaqGS:TFSL) in our automated value investing analysis, with the cash flow history and price comparison below.

Key Facts

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Target type

TFSL Free Cash Flow Trend

Free Cash Flow trendline for TFSL
Free Cash Flow trendline for TFS Financial Corporation
CSV

Based on historical returns, we believe that TFS Financial Corporation can grow its free cash at a rate of about 1%. That's positive!

AdvantagesDisadvantages
  • This company has a large dividend yield!
  • This company is making money at a modest rate.
  • This company is less known than others.
  • This company has wild ups and downs.
  • This stock looks overpriced.

Inside the TFSL Numbers

TFSL Price
(TFS Financial Corporation stock price per share)
$16.41
[?] PE Ratio versus Sector 253% higher than other Financial Services stocks
[?] PE Ratio versus Industry 0% lower than other Savings & Loans stocks
[?] Cash Yield 2.11%
[?] Free Cash Flow Jitter 44%
[?] Dividend Yield 7% (tax impact)
Shares Shorted 10,448,176

Insider Activity Summary

No open-market insider buys or sells are recorded for the last 12 months.

This stock has short interest! This means that people have shorted it.

Why does that matter? They've made a bet that price will decrease from where they bought it. Maybe there are financial problems, or maybe there's a value play.

As of the latest analysis, there are 10,448,176 shares shorted. With 50,418,151 shares available for purchase and an average trading volume over the past 10 trading days of 841,530, it would take at least 12.4 days for all of the short holders to cover their shorts.

What does this mean to you? At this volume, it'll take more than two trading weeks for shorts to cover. This may indicate a short squeeze play would work! If this stock has good fundamentals and it'll take a while for the short holders to cover, buying now could net you bigger short-term technical gains if and as the price rises.

Related guides: good annual rate of return · high-yield stocks · forecasting earnings growth

Free Cash Flow by Fiscal Year

Each year names the SEC filer that reported it, so a change of filer shows up here.

Fiscal yearSEC filer (CIK)Free cash flow (USD millions)
2008 1381668 23.8
2009 1381668 267.3
2010 1381668 111.9
2011 1381668 131.5
2012 1381668 150.9
2013 1381668 136.5
2014 1381668 99.5
2015 1381668 97.9
2016 1381668 79.4
2017 1381668 96.3
2018 1381668 86.1
2019 1381668 96.8
2020 1381668 116.1
2021 1381668 79.0
2022 1381668 35.0
2023 1381668 87.5
2024 1381668 85.5
2025 1381668 77.7

Download the yearly data as CSV.

Price Versus Our Estimated Value

Every one of the 18 fiscal years we have for TFS Financial Corporation under its current filer shows positive free cash flow.

The latest three years average $83.6 million in free cash flow against $134.4 million for the earliest three, which is a sharp decline.

Year-to-year variability in free cash flow is volatile, measured at 44%.

At $16.41, TFS Financial Corporation trades above our fair value estimate of $10.85.

Its dividend yield is 7.08%.

Before you act on any of this, read what a margin of safety means and check the company's own filings.

Compared With Its Sector and Industry

Its trailing P/E ratio is 253% above the average for stocks in the Financial Services sector.

Its trailing P/E ratio is in line with the average for stocks in the Savings & Loans industry.

A P/E ratio depends on trailing earnings, which one-time items can distort, so a lower P/E is not by itself evidence of value.

SEC Filer History

Every fiscal year on this page is reported by one SEC filer, CIK 1381668.

Each figure on this page comes from that filer.

Risks to This Analysis

  • Free cash flow is volatile from year to year, so the estimates depend heavily on which years are included.
  • These figures are automated calculations from SEC filings and the recent price. They may contain errors, and they do not reflect lawsuits, management changes, or other events the filings do not show.

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Questions to Answer Before You Invest in TFSL

Does TFS Financial Corporation have a coherent story? Does it have a plan to continue to make money? Is it worth your time? Only you can decide where to go from here. Our investment guide helps you ask the right questions, including how to buy stocks. Use these research links for more information.

Worked example: TFSL

This example shows how we apply the Trendshare checklist to TFSL: earnings power, cash generation, valuation, and margin of safety.

We check: business quality, free cash flow, P/E, and margin of safety.

  1. Step 1 — Snapshot

    • Price: 16.41
    • Market cap: $4.6B
    • EPS: 0.35
  2. Step 2 — Valuation checks

    • P/E: 46.886
    • FCF yield: 2.1%
    • Date checked: Nov 12, 2026
  3. Step 3 — Margin of safety

    • Compare price to fair value and safety price.
    • Look for durable cash generation and reasonable leverage.
    • Decide if it passes your personal checklist.