Provident Financial Services Stock Price and Value Analysis

Provident Financial Services (NYSE:PFS) in our automated value investing analysis, with the cash flow history and price comparison below.

Key Facts

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Target type

PFS Free Cash Flow Trend

Free Cash Flow trendline for PFS
Free Cash Flow trendline for Provident Financial Services
CSV

Based on historical returns, we believe that Provident Financial Services can grow its free cash at a rate of about 1%. That's positive!

AdvantagesDisadvantages
  • This company is solid.
  • This stock is on sale.
  • This company is making money at a modest rate.
  • This company has wild ups and downs.
  • This company has a low dividend yield.

Inside the PFS Numbers

PFS Price
(Provident Financial Services stock price per share)
$23.04
[?] PE Ratio versus Sector 27% lower than other Financial Services stocks
[?] PE Ratio versus Industry 0% lower than other Savings & Loans stocks
[?] Cash Yield 3.63%
[?] Free Cash Flow Jitter 47%
[?] Dividend Yield 1% (tax impact)
Shares Shorted 5,899,242

Insider Activity Summary

No open-market insider buys or sells are recorded for the last 12 months.

This stock has short interest! This means that people have shorted it.

Why does that matter? They've made a bet that price will decrease from where they bought it. Maybe there are financial problems, or maybe there's a value play.

As of the latest analysis, there are 5,899,242 shares shorted. With 126,324,056 shares available for purchase and an average trading volume over the past 10 trading days of 1,001,050, it would take at least 5.9 days for all of the short holders to cover their shorts.

Related guides: good annual rate of return · high-yield stocks · forecasting earnings growth

Free Cash Flow by Fiscal Year

Each year names the SEC filer that reported it, so a change of filer shows up here.

Fiscal yearSEC filer (CIK)Free cash flow (USD millions)
2008 1178970 56.2
2009 1178970 16.3
2010 1178970 84.6
2011 1178970 85.9
2012 1178970 100.4
2013 1178970 111.8
2014 1178970 91.9
2015 1178970 105.6
2016 1178970 118.8
2017 1178970 109.6
2018 1178970 149.0
2019 1178970 132.5
2020 1178970 97.5
2021 1178970 149.2
2022 1178970 191.5
2023 1178970 163.7
2024 1178970 417.4
2025 1178970 433.6

Download the yearly data as CSV.

Price Versus Our Estimated Value

Every one of the 18 fiscal years we have for Provident Financial Services under its current filer shows positive free cash flow.

The price of $23.04 is above our safe value ($20.61) but still below the fair value estimate of $31.71 for Provident Financial Services.

Average free cash flow over the last three years of data was $338.2 million, and across the first three years it was $52.3 million; over the period it rose sharply.

Free cash flow is volatile from year to year, with a variability measure of 47%.

Provident Financial Services yields 1.04% in dividends.

Our value investing guide explains how to test these numbers against the filings themselves.

Compared With Its Sector and Industry

Its trailing P/E ratio is 27% below the average for stocks in the Financial Services sector.

Its trailing P/E ratio is in line with the average for stocks in the Savings & Loans industry.

A P/E ratio depends on trailing earnings, which one-time items can distort, so a lower P/E is not by itself evidence of value.

SEC Filer History

Every fiscal year on this page is reported by one SEC filer, CIK 1178970.

Each figure on this page comes from that filer.

Risks to This Analysis

  • Free cash flow is volatile from year to year, so the estimates depend heavily on which years are included.
  • These figures are automated calculations from SEC filings and the recent price. They may contain errors, and they do not reflect lawsuits, management changes, or other events the filings do not show.

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Questions to Answer Before You Invest in PFS

Does Provident Financial Services have a coherent story? Does it have a plan to continue to make money? Is it worth your time? Only you can decide where to go from here. Our investment guide helps you ask the right questions, including how to buy stocks. Use these research links for more information.

Worked example: PFS

This example shows how we apply the Trendshare checklist to PFS: earnings power, cash generation, valuation, and margin of safety.

We check: business quality, free cash flow, P/E, and margin of safety.

  1. Step 1 — Snapshot

    • Price: 23.04
    • Market cap: $3.0B
    • EPS: 2.38
  2. Step 2 — Valuation checks

    • P/E: 9.681
    • FCF yield: 3.6%
    • Date checked: Nov 12, 2026
  3. Step 3 — Margin of safety

    • Compare price to fair value and safety price.
    • Look for durable cash generation and reasonable leverage.
    • Decide if it passes your personal checklist.