How does Trendshare evaluate COTY as a worked example?

This example shows how we apply the Trendshare checklist to COTY: earnings power, cash generation, valuation, and margin of safety. We look at business quality, free cash flow trends, price to earnings, and whether there is a reasonable margin of safety at the current price of 2.75.

Coty Stock Price and Value Analysis

Coty (NYSE:COTY) in our automated value investing analysis, with the cash flow history and price comparison below.

Key Facts

Ticker: COTY (NYSE)
Current price: $2.75
Sector: Consumer Defensive
Industry: Household & Personal Products

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Hold-time calculator

Estimate how long you need to hold Coty to reach your target.

Target type Target price Target total return %

Current price

Expected annual return (compound annual growth rate, CAGR)

Margin of safety (%)

Target price (Trendshare FV)

Include dividend yield
N/A

Advantages	Disadvantages	Neutral
None.	This stock looks overpriced. This company has wild ups and downs. This company is less known than others. This company is not making money.	This company pays no dividend.

Inside the COTY Numbers

	COTY Price (Coty stock price per share)	$2.75
× PE Ratio Versus Sector The PE ratio measures the reported earnings of a company to its current stock price. While earnings are easy to manipulate on the balance sheet, this ratio gives you a sense of what buyers are willing to pay for the stock—what they believe it will do in the future. Comparing a stock's PE to the average PE of companies in its industry gives you a sense of market sentiment about the stock and how well it fares financially. It's not the only number, nor the most important, but comparing similar companies is valuable. A ratio far above or below that of its peers is significant. Industries are more specific than sectors, so companies within most industries are more similar than are companies within an industry. Be aware that the size and customers of companies are important to their prospects. Close ^[?]	PE Ratio versus Sector	1456% higher than other Consumer Defensive stocks
× PE Ratio Versus Industry The PE ratio measures the reported earnings of a company to its current stock price. While earnings are easy to manipulate on the balance sheet, this ratio gives you a sense of what buyers are willing to pay for the stock—what they believe it will do in the future. Comparing a stock's PE to the average PE of companies in its sector gives you a sense of market sentiment about the stock and how well it fares financially. It's not the only number, nor the most important, but comparing similar companies is valuable. A ratio far above or below that of its peers is significant. Be aware that sectors are very broad, with many types of companies in the same sector. Close ^[?]	PE Ratio versus Industry	1245% higher than other Household & Personal Products stocks
× Free Cash Flow Jitter The free cash flow jitter of a stock measures how much the company's free cash flow varies from its historical trend, on average. While it's always nice to make more money than you expected, a company with predictable free cash flow is stable and good. A company with wild swings in its free cash flow warrants further research. In general, the lower this number, the better. Close ^[?]	Free Cash Flow Jitter	607%

Insider Activity Summary

No open-market insider buys or sells are recorded for the last 12 months.

This stock has short interest! This means that people have shorted it.

Why does that matter? They've made a bet that price will decrease from where they bought it. Maybe there are financial problems, or maybe there's a value play.

As of the latest analysis, there are 50,595,858 shares shorted. With 375,562,959 shares available for purchase and an average trading volume over the past 10 trading days of 9,440,170, it would take at least 5.4 days for all of the short holders to cover their shorts.

Estimate Intrinsic Value (DCF)

Project future free cash flow and discount it back to today to compare market price vs intrinsic value. See how compound returns work over time.

📊 Intrinsic Value Calculator (DCF Method)

Calculate the present value of future cash flows to determine stock intrinsic value.

Annual Free Cash Flow ($):

Current or most recent year free cash flow (operating cash - capex)

Expected Annual Growth Rate (%):

Conservative estimate (3-7% for mature companies, 10-20% for growth)

Discount Rate (%):

Required rate of return (8-10% stable, 12-15% growth, 15%+ speculative)

Projection Period (Years):

Longer projections are less certain but may reveal more value

Terminal Value Multiple:

Exit multiple for terminal value (10-15x typical for mature companies)

Calculation Results

Total Intrinsic Value:

Discounted Cash Flows:

Terminal Value (PV):

Year	Future CF	Present Value

How to use this result: Compare the intrinsic value to the current stock price. If intrinsic value is significantly higher than market price (30-50% margin of safety), the stock may be undervalued. Remember, these are estimates based on your assumptions.

Learn to Evaluate COTY

Learn how to evaluate stocks, understand expected returns, and build a value investing strategy.

See How Returns Compound →

Free Cash Flow by Fiscal Year

Each year names the SEC filer that reported it, so a change of filer shows up here.

Fiscal year	SEC filer (CIK)	Free cash flow (USD millions)
2012	1024305	411.9
2013	1024305	278.2
2014	1024305	345.6
2015	1024305	340.4
2016	1024305	322.6
2017	1024305	527.8
2018	1024305	133.5
2019	1024305	314.3
2020	1024305	-395.5
2021	1024305	-30.6
2022	1024305	428.9
2023	1024305	372.7
2024	1024305	397.9
2025	1024305	286.4
2026	1024305	328.5

Download the yearly data as CSV.

Price Versus Our Estimated Value

Coty reported positive free cash flow in 13 of the 15 fiscal years we have from its current SEC filer.

Average free cash flow over the last three years of data was $337.6 million, and across the first three years it was $345.2 million; over the period it stayed roughly level.

Free cash flow is volatile from year to year, with a variability measure of 607%.

We do not estimate a fair value for Coty while its free cash flow growth is not positive, so there is no value comparison here.

No dividend yield is recorded for Coty in our data.

These numbers change when new filings or prices arrive, so treat this page as a snapshot and check the company's own filings.

Compared With Its Sector and Industry

Its trailing P/E ratio is 1456% above the average for stocks in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Its trailing P/E ratio is 1245% above the average for stocks in the Household & Personal Products industry.

A P/E ratio depends on trailing earnings, which one-time items can distort, so a lower P/E is not by itself evidence of value.

SEC Filer History

Every fiscal year on this page is reported by one SEC filer, CIK 1024305.

Each figure on this page comes from that filer.

Risks to This Analysis

Free cash flow was negative in 2 of the 15 years we have.
Free cash flow is volatile from year to year, so the estimates depend heavily on which years are included.
We have no value estimate for this stock, so no price comparison is made.
This page's data was last updated on 2026-07-31. Prices and filings may have changed since.
These figures are automated calculations from SEC filings and the recent price. They may contain errors, and they do not reflect lawsuits, management changes, or other events the filings do not show.

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Questions to Answer Before You Invest in COTY

Does Coty have a coherent story? Does it have a plan to continue to make money? Is it worth your time? Only you can decide where to go from here. Our investment guide helps you ask the right questions, including how to buy stocks. Use these research links for more information.

Step 1 — Snapshot
- Price: 2.75
- Market cap: $2.4B
- EPS: -0.62
Step 2 — Valuation checks
- P/E: —
- FCF yield: —
- Date checked: Jul 31, 2026
Step 3 — Margin of safety
- Compare price to fair value and safety price.
- Look for durable cash generation and reasonable leverage.
- Decide if it passes your personal checklist.