Erie Indemnity Company Stock Price and Value Analysis

Erie Indemnity Company (NasdaqGS:ERIE) in our automated value investing analysis, with the cash flow history and price comparison below.

Key Facts

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ERIE Free Cash Flow Trend

Free Cash Flow trendline for ERIE
Free Cash Flow trendline for Erie Indemnity Company
CSV

Based on historical returns, we believe that Erie Indemnity Company can grow its free cash at a rate of about 12%. That's positive!

AdvantagesDisadvantages
  • This company is making money at a great rate!
  • This company has an average dividend yield.
  • This stock looks overpriced.
  • This company is less known than others.
  • This company has wild ups and downs.

Inside the ERIE Numbers

ERIE Price
(Erie Indemnity Company stock price per share)
$271.76
[?] PE Ratio versus Sector 86% higher than other Financial Services stocks
[?] PE Ratio versus Industry 19% higher than other Insurance Brokers stocks
[?] Cash Yield 1.53%
[?] Free Cash Flow Jitter 48%
[?] Dividend Yield 2% (tax impact)
Shares Shorted 2,488,171

Insider Activity Summary

No open-market insider buys or sells are recorded for the last 12 months.

This stock has short interest! This means that people have shorted it.

Why does that matter? They've made a bet that price will decrease from where they bought it. Maybe there are financial problems, or maybe there's a value play.

As of the latest analysis, there are 2,488,171 shares shorted. With 25,149,858 shares available for purchase and an average trading volume over the past 10 trading days of 254,820, it would take at least 9.8 days for all of the short holders to cover their shorts.

Related guides: good annual rate of return · high-yield stocks · forecasting earnings growth

Free Cash Flow by Fiscal Year

Each year names the SEC filer that reported it, so a change of filer shows up here.

Fiscal yearSEC filer (CIK)Free cash flow (USD millions)
2008 922621 720.0
2009 922621 889.0
2010 922621 721.0
2011 922621 360.0
2012 922621 577.0
2013 922621 218.0
2014 922621 186.0
2015 922621 217.4
2016 922621 249.3
2017 922621 186.3
2018 922621 241.5
2019 922621 322.0
2020 922621 289.0
2021 922621 324.5
2022 922621 280.2
2023 922621 288.0
2024 922621 513.4
2025 922621 576.8

Download the yearly data as CSV.

Price Versus Our Estimated Value

At $271.76, Erie Indemnity Company trades above our fair value estimate of $173.65.

Every one of the 18 fiscal years we have for Erie Indemnity Company under its current filer shows positive free cash flow.

Average free cash flow over the last three years of data was $459.4 million, and across the first three years it was $776.7 million; over the period it fell sharply.

Year-to-year variability in free cash flow is volatile, measured at 48%.

Before you act on any of this, read what a margin of safety means and check the company's own filings.

The dividend yield for Erie Indemnity Company is 2.15%.

Compared With Its Sector and Industry

Its trailing P/E ratio is 86% above the average for stocks in the Financial Services sector.

Its trailing P/E ratio is 19% above the average for stocks in the Insurance Brokers industry.

A P/E ratio depends on trailing earnings, which one-time items can distort, so a lower P/E is not by itself evidence of value.

SEC Filer History

Every fiscal year on this page is reported by one SEC filer, CIK 922621.

Each figure on this page comes from that filer.

Risks to This Analysis

  • Free cash flow is volatile from year to year, so the estimates depend heavily on which years are included.
  • These figures are automated calculations from SEC filings and the recent price. They may contain errors, and they do not reflect lawsuits, management changes, or other events the filings do not show.

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Questions to Answer Before You Invest in ERIE

Does Erie Indemnity Company have a coherent story? Does it have a plan to continue to make money? Is it worth your time? Only you can decide where to go from here. Our investment guide helps you ask the right questions, including how to buy stocks. Use these research links for more information.

Worked example: ERIE

This example shows how we apply the Trendshare checklist to ERIE: earnings power, cash generation, valuation, and margin of safety.

We check: business quality, free cash flow, P/E, and margin of safety.

  1. Step 1 — Snapshot

    • Price: 271.76
    • Market cap: $14B
    • EPS: 11.01
  2. Step 2 — Valuation checks

    • P/E: 24.683
    • FCF yield: 1.5%
    • Date checked: Nov 12, 2026
  3. Step 3 — Margin of safety

    • Compare price to fair value and safety price.
    • Look for durable cash generation and reasonable leverage.
    • Decide if it passes your personal checklist.