Dollar Tree Stock Price and Value Analysis

Should you buy Dollar Tree stock? (NasdaqGS:DLTR). Let's see how it does in our automated value investing analysis system.

Hold-time calculator

Estimate how long you need to hold Dollar Tree to reach your target.

Target type
AdvantagesDisadvantagesNeutral
  • This company is very stable.
  • This stock looks overpriced.
  • This company has wild ups and downs.
  • This company is not making money.
  • This company pays no dividend.

Inside the DLTR Numbers

DLTR Price
(Dollar Tree stock price per share)
$145.11
[?] PE Ratio versus Sector 84% higher than other Consumer Goods stocks
[?] PE Ratio versus Industry 3% higher than other Discount Stores stocks
[?] Cash Yield 2.62%
[?] Free Cash Flow Jitter 506%

This stock has short interest! This means that people have shorted it.

Why does that matter? They've made a bet that price will decrease from where they bought it. Maybe there are financial problems, or maybe there's a value play.

As of the latest analysis, there are 5,213,304 shares shorted. With 220,927,252 shares available for purchase and an average trading volume over the past 10 trading days of 2,075,190, it would take at least 2.512 days for all of the short holders to cover their shorts.

Is Dollar Tree Stock on Sale?

Based on our analysis, we believe that you should not buy Dollar Tree right now. It might be a good stock to own—we just can't prove it with value analysis right now. Proceed with caution.

Should You Buy DLTR Stock?

Does Dollar Tree have a coherent story? Does it have a plan to continue to make money? Is it worth your time? Only you can decide where to go from here. Our investment guide helps you ask the right questions, including how to buy stocks. Use these research links for more information.

Worked example: DLTR

This example shows how we apply the Trendshare checklist to DLTR: earnings power, cash generation, valuation, and margin of safety.

We check: business quality, free cash flow, P/E, and margin of safety.

  1. Step 1 — Snapshot

    • Price: 145.11
    • Market cap: $33B
    • EPS: 5.65
  2. Step 2 — Valuation checks

    • P/E: 25.68
    • FCF yield: 2.6%
    • Date checked: Dec 16, 2022
  3. Step 3 — Margin of safety

    • Compare price to fair value and safety price.
    • Look for durable cash generation and reasonable leverage.
    • Decide if it passes your personal checklist.
Illustrative sparkline of recent price-like movements (not an actual price series). The blue line shows a simplified trend; the gray baseline is a notional recent level. This graphic is a visual aid only — use the numeric values in the steps above for decisions.