American Airlines Group Stock Price and Value Analysis

Should you buy American Airlines Group stock? (NasdaqGS:AAL). Let's see how it does in our automated value investing analysis system.

AAL Free Cash Flow Trend

Free Cash Flow trendline for AAL
Free Cash Flow trendline for American Airlines Group

Based on historical returns, we believe that American Airlines Group can grow its free cash at a rate of about 1%. That's positive!

AdvantagesDisadvantagesNeutral
None.
  • This stock looks overpriced.
  • This company is less known than others.
  • This company is making money at a modest rate.
  • This company has wild ups and downs.
  • This company pays no dividend.

Inside the AAL Numbers

AAL Price
(American Airlines Group stock price per share)
$20.45
[?] AAL Fair Price
(based on intrinsic value)
$-11.05
[?] AAL Safety Price (based on a variable margin of safety) $-6.63
[?] PE Ratio versus Sector 59% lower than other Industrial Goods stocks
[?] PE Ratio versus Industry 13% lower than other Airlines stocks
[?] Free Cash Flow Jitter 93%

This stock has short interest! This means that people have shorted it.

Why does that matter? They've made a bet that price will decrease from where they bought it. Maybe there are financial problems, or maybe there's a value play.

As of the latest analysis, there are 80,222,948 shares shorted. With 632,664,953 shares available for purchase and an average trading volume over the past 10 trading days of 52,113,457, it would take at least 1.539 days for all of the short holders to cover their shorts.

Is American Airlines Group Stock on Sale?

We believe that American Airlines Group may be worth examining further. It's making money, which is a very positive sign. Is it on sale?

American Airlines Group looks overpriced right now. If you're looking for a bargain in the stock market, you should probably look elsewhere for a great deal. This might still be a great stock to own—but it's not on sale right now.

Should You Buy AAL Stock?

Does American Airlines Group have a coherent story? Does it have a plan to continue to make money? Is it worth your time? Only you can decide where to go from here. Our investment guide helps you ask the right questions, including how to buy stocks. Use these research links for more information.