How to Pick Good Stocks
By Ethan Mercer
Financial Technology Analyst โข 10+ years in fintech and payments
Learn how to pick good stocks with our beginner stock checklist. Step-by-step research guide covering key ratios (P/E, ROIC, FCF) and how to find undervalued stocks.
Investors spend a lot of time debating how to choose stocks. Many follow advice from brokers, while others act on hot tips they read in magazines or online. When the market fluctuates dramatically every day, it can feel like picking a good stock is a matter of chance. You do not have to treat it that way.
Finding good stocks is easier when you remember two simple ideas about what makes a business worth owning. The rest is systematic research and patience.
Good Companies Earn Money Reliably
Successful companies generate cash year after year. You can spend time chasing buzz, but that rarely helps you find the best investments. Publicity does not pay the bills. Focus instead on businesses that have stable revenue, durable customers, and sensible cost structures.
When you limit your search to companies that are worth owning as businesses you lower risk. Good stocks are simply shares in good businesses, so start there and work outward.
Great Investors Think Like Owners
Think about a business you would be happy owning. You do not need an accounting degree. You need to understand how the business makes money and why it will keep making money. A practical owner asks a few simple questions: what does the company sell, who are the customers, and who are the competitors?
Start with what you know. Your hobbies, the products you buy, and the industries your friends work in are fertile places to find ideas. If you can describe how the business earns revenue and how it could grow, you are already well on your way.
You probably already know this about several companies.
Whether you're passionate about airplanes or model cars or fashion, you can probably come up with a list of a dozen companies worth investigating. Find out if they're publicly traded. Get their names and market symbols.
How to Choose a Stock to Invest In
There is no single stock everyone should own. What matters is finding the right stock for you. A right stock is one that belongs to a company that earns money reliably and that you can value sensibly. Narrow your list to companies you understand, then decide if the current price gives you a margin of safety.
Great stock picks are simply good businesses available at good prices. That combination is not common, but it is discoverable if you do a bit of homework and wait for opportunity.
What makes a hidden gem? That's the subject of Trendshare's investing articles. Trendshare's value investing strategy looks at the past several years of history for every business to analyze the basic financial numbers. The result is an analysis of what the company has done and it produces a fair price you shouldn't pay more than for a share of the stock right now. (This technique has served people like Warren Buffett and Benjamin Graham very well.)
The rest is up to you.
How to Pick Stocks with Trendshare
Make a short watchlist of companies you find interesting. Run them through the Trendshare stock analysis and shrink the list to a few candidates worth deeper study. For each candidate, ask yourself: do I know how this company makes money and how that could improve over time?
Use our investing guide to learn the steps of setting up online buying, making a first investment, and assembling the pieces of a convincing investment case. The work is simple: study, value, and wait.
There is no secret formula that does all the work for you. Good stocks are out there. Be prepared, do the research, and be patient when the right price appears.
How to find undervalued stocks using this checklist
Finding undervalued stocks does not mean chasing the lowest price. It's finding quality businesses trading below their intrinsic value. Start with the checklist here focus on companies where the numbers tell a consistent story.
Look for businesses with stable or growing revenue, positive free cash flow, and reasonable debt levels. Check if the P/E ratio is lower than the industry average or the company's historical range. Compare return on invested capital across several years to see if the business earns strong returns consistently.
Most importantly, calculate a rough intrinsic value using conservative growth assumptions. If the current stock price gives you a 20 to 30 percent margin of safety below your estimate, the stock may be undervalued—and worth buying! Use the Trendshare stock analysis to see our calculated fair value for any publicly traded company.
Remember that undervalued does not always mean cheap in absolute dollar terms. A stock trading at 100 dollars per share can be undervalued if the business is worth 150 dollars per share. The goal is to buy assets for less than they are worth.
Beginner stock checklist - 5 steps to research a stock
Step 1 - Make a short watchlist
Write down five to twenty companies you know a little about. Pick names from your hobbies, the products you buy, or industries you understand. This is not about popularity, it is about familiarity and starting points for deeper work.
Step 2 - Understand the business
Describe how the company earns revenue. Who pays it, what do they buy, and what makes customers stay? If you can explain the basic economics in a few sentences, you have a framework for judging the company.
Step 3 - Check core financial ratios
Look at valuation and performance ratios over several years. Key ratios to review are price earnings, return on invested capital, and free cash flow. See the examples below for how to read trend lines and what to drill into next.
Step 4 - Estimate intrinsic value
Use conservative assumptions to estimate what the business is worth. If the current price gives you a reasonable margin of safety, it is worth further consideration. If not, file it for later and move on.
Step 5 - Decide position size and buy plan
Plan how much to buy, when, and whether you will use dollar cost averaging or invest a lump sum. Set rules for trade costs and rebalancing before you commit.
Key ratios to check
Price earnings (P/E)
Price earnings gives a shorthand for valuation. Look at the ratio across a cycle and not just the current number. A single low P/E may hide weak earnings or one time gains; a simple trend will tell you more than a single point.
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
ROIC measures how well a company converts capital into profit. Higher ROIC over time suggests durable competitive advantages. Compare ROIC to peers in the same industry for context.
Free cash flow (FCF)
Free cash flow is the cash left after investment. Positive and growing FCF is a strong indicator that a company can pay dividends, reduce debt, and buy back shares. Trendshare shows normalized FCF to help remove one time items.
See an example analysis on Apple (AAPL) or run a stock through our Trendshare stock analysis.
Quick Ratio Reference Cards
P/E Ratio
Price to Earnings
Lower than industry average suggests potential value. Check if earnings are sustainable.
How to calculate: Stock Price รท Earnings Per Share
What to look for: Compare to industry peers and historical range. A low P/E can signal value or problems.
See Apple (AAPL) example โROIC
Return on Invested Capital
Strong and rising ROIC indicates competitive advantages and efficient capital use.
How to calculate: (Net Operating Profit - Taxes) รท Invested Capital
What to look for: Higher than cost of capital (typically >10-15%). Consistent or improving trend.
See Apple (AAPL) example โFCF
Free Cash Flow
Growing free cash flow shows the business generates real cash for dividends and growth.
How to calculate: Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures
What to look for: Positive and growing. Compare to net income to check quality of earnings.
See Apple (AAPL) example โExample data shown for illustration. Always verify current numbers from company filings.
Frequently asked questions
What data should I trust when researching a stock?
Prioritize audited company filings and well established metrics such as revenue and operating cash flow. Trendshare uses normalized historical numbers to remove one time items so you can compare underlying performance.
How many stocks should a beginner hold?
Beginners often hold ten to twenty well researched stocks. If you prefer fewer decisions and broader diversification, consider a low cost index fund. Your ideal number depends on time, diversification needs, and how much research you can do on each company.
What ratios matter most?
Look at P/E for valuation, ROIC for returns on capital, and FCF for cash generation. Always focus on trends rather than a single period number.
Should I use dollar cost averaging or invest a lump sum?
Dollar cost averaging reduces timing risk, while lump sum investing can outperform over long periods in rising markets. Use a calculator to compare outcomes and account for trade fees.
Try the DCA vs Lump Sum Calculator
Compare dollar cost averaging against lump sum investing with your own numbers. Adjust the amount, time period, fees, and expected returns to see which strategy works better for your situation.
DCA vs Lump Sum Calculator
Compare dollar cost averaging against investing a lump sum upfront.
Your Inputs
Results
Lump Sum
Fees: $0
Dollar Cost Averaging
Fees: $0
Lump sum investing produces $7 more than DCA over this period.
๐ก Insights
- Zero-fee trading makes DCA more attractive by eliminating fee drag.
- Lump sum benefits from full time in the market. Historically, markets trend up over time.
- DCA reduces timing risk and emotional stress by spreading purchases over time.
Results are estimates based on simplified assumptions. Actual returns will vary. This is not investment advice.
Investment Disclaimer
This article is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Stock prices, financial metrics, and market conditions change constantly. Company examples are provided for illustration and should not be considered recommendations. Always verify current data from official sources such as company investor relations pages or SEC filings, assess your own risk tolerance and investment objectives, and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.