The Mosaic Company Stock Price and Value Analysis

The Mosaic Company (NYSE:MOS) in our automated value investing analysis, with the cash flow history and price comparison below.

Key Facts

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MOS Free Cash Flow Trend

Free Cash Flow trendline for MOS
Free Cash Flow trendline for The Mosaic Company

Hmm, we can't give any reliable projection for The Mosaic Company's growth rate. The company either has too few years of historical data for us to examine, or it's in the habit of losing money.

None of this means it's a bad stock. Maybe it's new and growing quickly, or maybe it's turning things around. We can't say anything sensible about it, so we won't say it's obviously undervalued right now. Proceed at your own risk!

AdvantagesDisadvantages
  • This company is very stable.
  • This company has a large dividend yield!
  • This stock looks overpriced.
  • This company is not making money.
  • This company has wild ups and downs.

Inside the MOS Numbers

MOS Price
(The Mosaic Company stock price per share)
$21.92
[?] PE Ratio versus Sector 1159% higher than other Basic Materials stocks
[?] PE Ratio versus Industry 768% higher than other Agricultural Chemicals stocks
[?] Cash Yield 22.71%
[?] Free Cash Flow Jitter 105%
[?] Dividend Yield 4.04% (tax impact)
Shares Shorted 37,344,426

Insider Activity Summary

No open-market insider buys or sells are recorded for the last 12 months.

This stock has short interest! This means that people have shorted it.

Why does that matter? They've made a bet that price will decrease from where they bought it. Maybe there are financial problems, or maybe there's a value play.

As of the latest analysis, there are 37,344,426 shares shorted. With 297,780,354 shares available for purchase and an average trading volume over the past 10 trading days of 11,289,520, it would take at least 3.3 days for all of the short holders to cover their shorts.

Related guides: good annual rate of return · high-yield stocks · forecasting earnings growth

Free Cash Flow by Fiscal Year

Price Versus Our Estimated Value

The Mosaic Company reported positive free cash flow in 15 of the 17 fiscal years we have from its current SEC filer.

We do not estimate a fair value for The Mosaic Company while its free cash flow growth is not positive, so there is no value comparison here.

Average free cash flow over the last three years of data was $224.3 million, and across the first three years it was $804.5 million; over the period it fell sharply.

Free cash flow is volatile from year to year, with a variability measure of 105%.

Its dividend yield is 4.04%.

These numbers change when new filings or prices arrive, so treat this page as a snapshot and check the company's own filings.

Compared With Its Sector and Industry

Its trailing P/E ratio is 1159% above the average for stocks in the Basic Materials sector.

Its trailing P/E ratio is 768% above the average for stocks in the Agricultural Chemicals industry.

A P/E ratio depends on trailing earnings, which one-time items can distort, so a lower P/E is not by itself evidence of value.

SEC Filer History

Every fiscal year on this page is reported by one SEC filer, CIK 1285785.

Each figure on this page comes from that filer.

Risks to This Analysis

  • Free cash flow was negative in 2 of the 17 years we have.
  • Free cash flow is volatile from year to year, so the estimates depend heavily on which years are included.
  • We have no value estimate for this stock, so no price comparison is made.
  • These figures are automated calculations from SEC filings and the recent price. They may contain errors, and they do not reflect lawsuits, management changes, or other events the filings do not show.

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Questions to Answer Before You Invest in MOS

Does The Mosaic Company have a coherent story? Does it have a plan to continue to make money? Is it worth your time? Only you can decide where to go from here. Our investment guide helps you ask the right questions, including how to buy stocks. Use these research links for more information.

Worked example: MOS

This example shows how we apply the Trendshare checklist to MOS: earnings power, cash generation, valuation, and margin of safety.

We check: business quality, free cash flow, P/E, and margin of safety.

  1. Step 1 — Snapshot

    • Price: 21.92
    • Market cap: $7.0B
    • EPS: -3.54
  2. Step 2 — Valuation checks

    • P/E: —
    • FCF yield: 22.7%
    • Date checked: Nov 13, 2026
  3. Step 3 — Margin of safety

    • Compare price to fair value and safety price.
    • Look for durable cash generation and reasonable leverage.
    • Decide if it passes your personal checklist.